US Macro Dashboard

✅NFP May: +172K — strong beat vs +85K consensus · Next: CPI May on Jun 10

Macro Score

Factor	Wt	Score
Inflation	30%	63
Labor Market	25%	87
Growth	20%	50
Sentiment	15%	42
Fed Positioning	10%	100

Risk-On

out of 100 · weighted composite

Next FOMC

-83days

Jun 17, 2026

Warsh's first FOMC · SEP + dot plot

Hold

99%

Cut

0.5%

Hike

0.3%

CME FedWatch · Sep 8, 2026 · 3.50–3.75%

Fear & Greed index

CME FedWatch — meeting probabilities 2026

HoldCut 25bpsHike 25bpsHike 50bps+

Jun 17

99%

-83d

Jul 29

84%

14.8%

-41d

Sep 16

68%

20%

Oct 28

55%

15%

24%

50d

Dec 9

43%

28%

22%

92d

CME FedWatch · 3.50–3.75% · Sep 8, 2026

Key Indicators

NFP — Jobs Report

Beat

📊 Equities: Mixed₿ Crypto: Bad for market

Period: August 2026Released Jun 5, 2026

Actual

+162K

Consensus

+85K

+21K

📅Next: Jul 3, 2026

view analysis ▾

CPI — Consumer Inflation

Beat

📉 Equities: Bad for market₿ Crypto: Bad for market

Period: July 2026Released May 13, 2026

Actual

3.5% YoY

Consensus

3.7%

—

📅Next: Jun 10, 2026 — ← next, key pre-FOMC

view analysis ▾

PCE — Fed Inflation

Inline

Period: July 2026Released May 30, 2026

Actual

3.34% Core

Consensus

~3.3%

3.34%

📅Next: Jun 25, 2026 — PCE May

view analysis ▾

GDP — US Economy

Miss

📉 Equities: Bad for market₿ Crypto: Good for market

Period: Q2 2026Released May 29, 2026

Actual

+1.5% ann.

Consensus

+2.0%

+2.1% Q1

📅Next: Jul 30, 2026 — Q2 Advance

view analysis ▾

PPI — Producer Prices

Beat

📉 Equities: Bad for market₿ Crypto: Bad for market

Period: July 2026Released May 15, 2026

Actual

+8.3% YoY

Consensus

~5.5%

-0.8% MoM

📅Next: Jun 11, 2026 — PPI May

view analysis ▾

Jobless Claims — Weekly Unemployment

Upcoming

Period: August 2026

Actual

206K

Consensus

~220K

204K

📅Next: Jun 12, 2026

view analysis ▾

FOMC — Rate Decision

Upcoming

Period: Jun 17, 2026

Actual

—

Consensus

Hold 3.50–3.75%

Hold (Apr 29)

📅Next: Jun 17, 2026 — SEP + dot plot + Warsh press conf

view analysis ▾

Polymarket — Fed 2026

FOMC Jun — no change98%

0 cuts in 202670%

1 cut in 202619%

Rate hike in 202641%

1st cut in Dec28%

Warsh cuts at 1st FOMC2%

Live data · Polymarket · Sep 8, 2026